Background
Summary of key findings
Key findings (2)
Key findings (3)
Key findings (4)
Reliability Analysis
Genesys structure
Key Components of Analysis
Typical Subdaily Operation
Mean Unserved Demand
Hourly Reliability Duration Curve
Illustration of Loss of Load Probability
Generation Loss of Load Probability
Hourly Reliability Duration Curve w/wo new resources
Reliance on SW Resources
Tradeoffs in use of Hydro Flexibility
September Elevation Libby
December Elevation Libby
April Content vs Flood Control Libby
August 15 Flow vs Target Lower Granite
August 15 Flow vs Target McNary
Auguest Elevation Libby
Forecast Power Plant Development Activity
Proposed Power Plants
Simulating the WSCC electricity market using AURORA
Key Assumptions
Annual Average Mid-Columbia Price Forecast
Mid-Columbia Heavy and Light Load Hour Monthly Average Prices
Pacific Northwest Market Driven Resource Development
Westside Component Market-driven Resource Development
Conclusions
Bottom Line
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